Wednesday, March 10, 2010

TradeStalker's RBI Update 03/09/10

.................................................

TradeStalker's

R.B.I. Trader's Update

3 / 9 / 2010

(Published Since 1996)

...............................................

Dateline: 6:26 pm eastern time, 3/9/2010

The gap down open reversed from 1034.00 on the ES and
immediately turned back up on Tuesday. The rally took the ES
back over the 1139.50-1140.00 area which caused a squeeze
back towards its old high in a steep trend up move. After
reaching 1145.25, another small dip followed. After the dip,
a bounce back to a lower high reversed, setting up a 1-2-3
top, and the ES cut through 1142 support in the process.
After that break, a small bounce stalled and reversed from
1141.75, and then the ES dropped to the 1136.25 level with
just over 30 minutes left in stock trading. Buying/short
covering brought the futures back towards the 1142
resistance and settled over fair value.

The rally was a surprise on Tuesday, as it looked like a
test of the Monday low areas would bring in selling. Still,
the market has not been able to hold its gains and it also
has refused to break down so far. So, it looks like we will
get more two-sided action as long as the Tuesday afternoon
lows are defended. If they are broken, then any rally back
towards the Tuesday closes should be reversed then if the
market is weak. If the market somehow is able to put
together a good rally that takes the SP500 above the January
high of 1150.45, then there is a long-shot chance of seeing
the 1154 area on the SP500 cash, which would be a key hurdle
for this leg higher.

So, look for early strength to be sold on Wednesday. If we
get that, then an early drop towards the initial support
areas must be reversed. If it is not, then a roll over could
be underway. However, if a reversal back up from that
support plays out, the market should have trouble breaking
and staying over the 1141.50-1142.00 area on the ES.
However, if that area is not reversed on a bounce, but
instead broken and held on a pullback, then a move to test
the January high on the SP500 cash could be in the cards.

March 2010 SP futures resistance
symbols: emini = esh0 / big contract =sph0

1141.50-1142.00
1144.75-1145.25
1147.00-1148.00


March 2010 SP futures support
symbols: emini = esh0 / big contract =sph0

1136.25-1136.00
1133.00-1132.50
1126.50-1126.00
1123.50-1123.00


March 2010 Nasdaq futures resistance
symbols: emini = nqh0 / big contract = ndh0

1903.75-1904.25
1910.00-1911.00
1914.75-1915.50


March 2010 Nasdaq futures support
symbols: emini = nqh0 / big contract = ndh0

1894.00-1893.50
1887.50-1887.00
1882.50-1881.50
1874.50-1873.50


March 2010 Dow futures resistance
symbols: emini = ymh0

10570-10574
10602-10606
10624-10631


March 2010 Dow futures support
symbols: emini = ymh0

10533-10530
10514-10511
10440-10436
10423-10419

CLICK HERE for FREE Trading Articles and Videos!

Good Trading,
Mike Reed
TradeStalker.com

Copyright (c) 2010 by TradeStalker.com, Ft Wayne, IN.
TradeStalker Updates may not be redistributed without
permission.

This publication's primary focus is trading the index
futures ($ES_F). However, you can also use my nightly updates to
trade the following ETF's (SPY), (QQQQ), (SDS), (QID),
(DIA), and (DOG)

www.TradeStalker.com

PO Box 9783, Ft Wayne, IN, 46899

Disclaimer

The financial markets are risky. Investing is risky.
Past performance does not guarantee future performance.
The foregoing has been prepared solely for informational
purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy
or sell any security. Opinions are based on historical
research and data believed reliable, but there is no
guarantee that future results will be profitable.

We are not advocating trading futures. The prices and
contracts in the TradeStalker Updates specify a manner
in which you could trade. We occasionally mention the
SP500 and Nasdaq futures markets because it is
extremely liquid and tends to lead the other markets.
This is not an endorsement or recommendation of the SP500
and Nasdaq futures markets. The risk of loss in futures
is substantial. You can lose more than your original
investment. We are not Registered Investment Advisors or
Commodity Trading Advisors.
*************************************************

No comments: