TradeStalker's
R.B.I. Trader's Update
6 / 26 / 2008
(Published Since 1996)
...............................................
Dateline: 6:00 pm eastern time, 6/26/2008
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The market gapped down on the open on Thursday, and after a
little pop over 1310 on the SP futures failed, more selling
came in and drove prices lower. The 1298.50-1297.50 zone
provided a bounce, but that failed right at the 1301.75
updated resistance and the market rolled over again. The
1292 target was met shortly after noon, and then the SP
futures bounced to 1298.25. The updated resistance was at
1298.50, and the market reversed and fell to new lows for
the day. The SP futures reached 1287.25 and then bounced
back feebly back to 1393.25. Unable to push through the 1294
resistance, the market rolled over again and sold another 10
points on the SP futures by the close.
Thursday was a trend day, and back to back trend days are
rare. So, expect two-sided action on Friday. The initial
resistance areas will need to be exceeded, and not quickly
reversed, to erase some of the downside momentum. If there
is going to be a decent trade on the long side, it could set
up if the market opens lower and then reverses back to the
upside. If that occurs, then the market could rally back
towards the initial resistance zones. If that plays out, the
way the market handles that initial resistance should say a
lot about what to expect ahead. Whatever the case, even
though the market is oversold, it needs to prove itself
strong before favoring the long side. Shorting the bounces
as soon as the momentum fizzles is still the better odds
trading setup until the trends turn.
The initial resistance is at the 1292.75-1293.25 area on the
SP futures and 1878.75-1880.00 area on the Nasdaq futures.
If the market gets up there, and doesn't have trouble, then
a rally could be in gear. The next hurdles are at the
1298.00-1298.50 area on the SP futures and 1888.50-1888.75
area on the Nasdaq futures. Those should be key if they are
reached. A failure at those areas would mean lower prices
are coming again. However, if those are exceeded, then the
1301.75-1302.25 area on the SP futures and 1892.50-1892.25
area on the Nasdaq futures would be next. If the market gets
up there, and the rally doesn't fail, then we could see some
piling on and the upside could go parabolic.
The initial support is at the 1283.00-1282.50 area on the SP
futures and 1863.00-1862.00 area on the Nasdaq futures. If
the market opens higher on Friday, those areas should be
watched for potential double bottoms. Below those areas,
there should be some support near the 1278.00-1277.50 area
on the SP futures and 1854.50-1853.50 area on the Nasdaq
futures. If the market gets there, especially early in the
morning, then beware of a reversal attempt. However, if
those don't hold then the door is open for a move towards
the 1272.50-1272.00 area on the SP futures and 1847.75-
1847.00 area on the Nasdaq futures. If those do not hold,
then the major support is at the 1258.75-1257.00 area on the
SP futures. If the market gets there, and doesn't quickly
reverse, then a for the first time we could see some panic
selling come in and the market could go into a crashette
type mode.
September 2008 SP futures resistance
symbols: emini = esu8 / big contract =spu8
1292.75-1293.25
1298.00-1298.50
1301.75-1302.25
September 2008 SP futures support
symbols: emini = esu8 / big contract =spu8
1283.00-1282.50
1278.00-1277.50
1272.50-1272.00
1258.75-1257.00 major
September 2008 Nasdaq futures resistance
symbols: emini = nqu8 / big contract = ndu8
1878.75-1880.00
1888.50-1888.75
1892.50-1892.25
September 2008 Nasdaq futures support
symbols: emini = nqu8 / big contract = ndu8
1863.00-1862.00
1854.50-1853.50
1847.75-1847.00
September 2008 Dow futures resistance
symbols: emini = ymu8
11526-11529
11583-11587
11604-11608
September 2008 Dow futures support
symbols: emini = ymu8
11445-11442
11398-11394
11346-11343
September 2008 Russell futures resistance
symbols: emini = er2u8 / big contract = er2u8
700.80-701.20
705.40-705.80
708.10-708.50
September 2008 Russell futures support
symbols: emini = er2u8 / big contract = er2u8
695.90-695.60
692.10-691.80
687.80-687.40
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Good Trading,
Mike Reed
Copyright (c) 2008 by TradeStalker.com, Ft Wayne, IN.
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Disclaimer
The financial markets are risky. Investing is risky.
Past performance does not guarantee future performance.
The foregoing has been prepared solely for informational
purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy
or sell any security. Opinions are based on historical
research and data believed reliable, but there is no
guarantee that future results will be profitable.
We are not advocating trading futures. The prices and
contracts in the TradeStalker Updates specify a manner
in which you could trade. We occasionally mention the
SP500 and Nasdaq futures markets because it is
extremely liquid and tends to lead the other markets.
This is not an endorsement or recommendation of the SP500
and Nasdaq futures markets. The risk of loss in futures
is substantial. You can lose more than your original
investment. We are not Registered Investment Advisors or
Commodity Trading Advisors.
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