Wednesday, February 25, 2009

TradeStalker's RBI Update 02/03/09

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TradeStalker's

R.B.I. Trader's Update

2 / 3 / 2009

(Published Since 1996)

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Dateline: 6:18 pm eastern time, 2/3/2009


Early strength was sold on Tuesday, as the ES popped up and
reversed from 827.75 (right at the 827.75-828.50 initial
resistance) and dropped to 818.00 in the first 30 minutes of
trading. A bounce to 829.25 was quickly reversed and unable
to hold the key resistance, the ES pulled back to 821.50 by
early afternoon. The market turned choppy, then just after 2
pm the ES shot higher. The break and hold over 828.50 led to
a rally that didn't run into trouble until the ES reached
839.75. Profit taking came in and the ES dropped to 831.25
in the final minutes of futures trading.

It looks like the market has found a bottom for awhile, as
the market reversed from its oversold condition on Tuesday.
However, the upside looks like it might have difficulty
staying up here. The market may have put in a minor trading
top just under 840 on the ES, as the futures dropped into
the close and settled about 4 points under fair value on
Tuesday. The early going should be key for the day and tell
us whether we go back into a trading range or extend the
move higher or lower.

If there is an early rally that stalls and reverses from
just under the initial resistance, it could set up a 1-2-3
top and we could get another decent pullback. However, if
the market gets through the Tuesday high areas and there
isn't a quick reversal, then a move towards the 847.50-
848.25 area on the ES could be in the works.

If we get a pullback early on Wednesday, then prices will
need to stay over the initial support areas to avoid
trouble. If those are broken, then a drop back towards the
8000 level on the Dow cash could occur. That level would
need to hold, or quickly reverse if broken, to keep the
market afloat. If broken, then the 821 area on the ES and
the 7950 area on the Dow cash will be the key support areas
that would need to be reversed, otherwise we could nose-dive
into Friday.



March 2009 SP futures resistance
symbols: emini = esh9 / big contract =sph9

839.50-840.00
847.50-848.25
850.00-850.50
859.75-861.25


March 2009 SP futures support
symbols: emini = esh9 / big contract =sph9

830.00-829.50
822.00-821.50
818.00-817.25
812.75-812.00
809.50-808.50
801.50-800.50
794.00-792.50


March 2009 Nasdaq futures resistance
symbols: emini = nqh9 / big contract = ndh9

1217.75-1218.25
1225.75-1227.25
1230.75-1231.75
1240.50-1242.50


March 2009 Nasdaq futures support
symbols: emini = nqh9 / big contract = ndh9

1205.75-1205.00
1192.25-1191.25
1187.75-1187.00
1177.75-1176.50
1172.50-1171.75
1166.50-1165.50
1154.00-1152.50


March 2009 Dow futures resistance
symbols: emini = ymh9

8063-8069
8141-8147
8161-8166
8247-8254


March 2009 Dow futures support
symbols: emini = ymh9

7977-7973
7895-7889
7853-7848
7817-7813
7798-7794
7772-7767
7738-7731


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http://www.tradestalker.com/members


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Good Trading,
Mike Reed

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This is not an endorsement or recommendation of the SP500
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