Tuesday, September 15, 2009

TradeStalker's RBI Update 09/13/09

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TradeStalker's

R.B.I. Trader's Update

9 / 13 / 2009

(Published Since 1996)

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Dateline: 5:26 pm eastern time, 9/13/2009


We were selling early strength on Friday, and had resistance
at the 1043.50-1044.00 zone on the ES. The ES popped up and
reached 1043.75 and fizzled, giving us a great reward/risk
shorting opportunity. The ES then dropped 10 points to
1033.50 before bouncing, which was right at initial support
at the 1034.00-1033.50 zone. I gave the 1038.00-1038.50 as
new resistance, and the bounce reached 1038.25 and turned
back down. They had a 3.25 point pullback from there, then
the ES popped up to 1039.25 and then pulled back. A run to
1040.75 was quickly reversed, then the market pulled back
into the close.

The upside flattened out on Friday, as the market had a 2
sided day with a high at a resistance zone and a low at a
support zone. The Vix reversed from a yearly low, and gave 3
sell signals of 5 on Friday. At the moment it looks like the
upside is limited, and a drop back to test the Friday lows
are in the cards. If the ES cannot avoid rejecting the 1040
area, then we should drop towards the 1030.50-1030.00 area
and test the market strength from there.

Look for the "sell early, buy the first decent pullback"
type of action to start the day on Monday. If there is some
early strength, and there is a test of the late Friday highs
that fizzles/reverses it will set up a good shorting
opportunity. If the first decent pullback can hold the
1030.50-1030.00 area in the first 30 minutes of trading, and
stall out and turn up, then a trade on the long side might
be in order. However, unless/until the 1040 area is exceeded
and held, shorting the bounces should be the better odds
trade on Monday.



December 2009 SP futures resistance
symbols: emini = esz9 / big contract =spz9

1040.00-1040.75
1043.50-1044.00
1049.50-1050.25


December 2009 SP futures support
symbols: emini = esz9 / big contract =spz9

1034.00-1033.50
1030.50-1030.00
1026.50-1026.00
1023.00-1022.50


December 2009 Nasdaq futures resistance
symbols: emini = nqz9 / big contract = ndz9

1684.75-1685.75
1688.50-1689.25
1696.50-1697.50


December 2009 Nasdaq futures support
symbols: emini = nqz9 / big contract = ndz9

1673.00-1672.00
1667.00-1666.50
1663.00-1661.75
1658.00-1656.75


December 2009 Dow futures resistance
symbols: emini = ymz9

9559-9562
9588-9592
9642-9647


December 2009 Dow futures support
symbols: emini = ymz9

9512-9509
9468-9465
9434-9431
9403-9400


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Good Trading,
Mike Reed

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Past performance does not guarantee future performance.
The foregoing has been prepared solely for informational
purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy
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research and data believed reliable, but there is no
guarantee that future results will be profitable.

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This is not an endorsement or recommendation of the SP500
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is substantial. You can lose more than your original
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