TradeStalker's
Support and Resistance Update
2 / 21 / 2011
(Published Since 1996)
...............................................
Dateline: 4:36 pm eastern time, 2/21/2011
After holding 1337 early on Friday, the ES rallied to
another new 52 week high at 1342.75 and stalled out. A
selloff to 1336.25 occurred, then after getting back over
1340 the market got another gear and rallied into the close.
The melt-up continues and about everything has gone up
lately. The market is on steroids, courtesy of the Fed, and
steroids cause unintended consequences. So far it hasn't
done anything wrong. It's still flabbergasting though that
the SP500 can rally almost 67 points in 3 weeks with barely
pulling back. When this ends, or when the end starts, it
will likely be an unintended consequence that sends the
market south fast.
The Monday action for the ES and NQ shows how easily the
market can fall apart when this move ends. The SP500 is 12%
above the 200 day moving average, and that has been near the
maximum even in good bull markets. The SP500 is +101% from
low to high in 23 months so far. The only other bull market
cycle to do that was the 1935-1937 bull market which doubled
in 24 months. Oddly, the NQ has had 3 days in a row with
lower high and a lower low while the blue chips made higher
highs, a bearish divergence at 2400 on the Nasdaq 100 cash
and futures.
On Tuesday we get Case-Shiller Index before the open and
then the Consumer Confidence survey release at 10 am. A
higher open is a short, as bids should dry up at best. If
the market opens lower, it should bounce right back from
above the 1328-1327 area if the market going to try hanging
in for a run-up. Don't expect a bounce to stick though, as
the 1336 area would become a key resistance area on a
bounce. If the ES closes under the 1336 area on Tuesday, it
would be the first sign of a top in quite a few weeks.
March 2011 SP futures resistance
symbols: emini = esh1 / big contract =sph1
1343.00-1343.50
1345.25-1345.75 strong
1348.50-1349.25 major
1352.50-1354.00 huge
March 2011 SP futures support
symbols: emini = esh1 / big contract =sph1
1339.50-1339.00 pivotal
1337.25-1336.75
1330.50-1330.00
1327.50-1327.00 major
1322.25-1321.50
March 2011 Nasdaq futures resistance
symbols: emini = nqh1 / big contract = ndh1
2399.50-2400.75
2404.00-2404.50
2410.25-2412.00
2418.00-2419.00
March 2011 Nasdaq futures support
symbols: emini = nqh1 / big contract = ndh1
2384.50-2384.00
2380.25-2379.50
2370.50-2369.75
2366.50-2365.50
2358.50-2357.50
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Good Trading,
Mike Reed
TradeStalker.com
Copyright (c) 2011 by TradeStalker.com, Ft Wayne, IN.
TradeStalker Updates may not be redistributed without
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This publication's primary focus is trading the index
futures ($ES_F)and($NQ_F). However, you can also use my nightly updates to
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